The "whale" placing big bets on Polymarket for Doland Trump to win the ... accelerated by a shock poll from Iowa released over the weekend that had Kamala Harris ahead of the former president ...

With vote counting underway, the world’s largest prediction market, Polymarket, now shows the odds of Donald Trump winning the election at 90%, with Kamala Harris at 10%. According to Polymarket ...

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part. The polls were wrong, again. Nate Silver ran 80,000 simulations of election outcomes and found that Vice President Kamala Harris won in ...

Note that the Trump-Harris market is Polymarket’s most active right now, with over $2bn in volumes, and that it recently made a (somewhat suspicious) symmetrical shift to bets on Trump.

The prediction ... conventional polls or political analyses. Bettors on the platform, however, have had mixed successes in forecasting other political events, such as who Trump would pick to ...

The polls are starting to close and results are beginning to roll in. The Associated Press has declared that former President Donald Trump won Indiana and Kentucky, while Vice President Kamala ...