Puzzles with counterintuitive solutions do more than challenge us. They expose how easily our fast, reflexive thinking can lead us astray. When the Monty Hall problem was first posed by Marilyn Vos ...
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Why your brain misreads probability games
Famous game show puzzle: The Monty Hall problem from 'Let’s Make a Deal' challenges players to decide whether to stick or switch after one losing option is revealed. Probability says switch: ...
Calculating probabilities can be tricky, with subtle changes in context giving quite different results. I was reminded of this recently after setting BrainTwister #10 for New Scientist readers, which ...
The host invites you to pick a door, any door. Let’s say you pick door one. The host throws open one of the doors you did not select, revealing a goat. Then the host gives you the option of switching ...
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