More accurate than polls, as actual money is ... s unclear at this point how “accurate” Polymarket will be when it comes to the 2024 US presidential election. While Musk and some analysts ...

More accurate than polls, as actual money is on the ... 20-point lead in the presidential race over Vice President Kamala Harris on Polymarket sparked concerns that the market may be manipulated.

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part. The polls were wrong, again. Nate Silver ran 80,000 simulations of election outcomes and found that Vice President Kamala Harris won in ...