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This is the latest modfel run for the GFS and it indeed shows a low coming onshore the Gulf Coast. Withe wind shear and other factors, it appears unlikely that a true tropical system will form. It will most likely be a barcelonic low with a chance opf some heavy rain and gusty winds. Also, another piece apperars to break off and head across Florida which will hopefully bring some beneficial rain to the area that is much needed. The timew frame for this appears to be around the 12th or 13th. http
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